In the Great Purge of 1936-38, Soviet dictator Josef Stalin ordered the NKVD, the KGB’s predecessor, to liquidate his real and perceived enemies in the Communist Party leadership, the Red Army and Russia’s security services.
Stalin’s henchmen executed more than 1 million of their comrades, including three of the five Red Army marshals and virtually all of the Soviet Union’s army corps commanders, admirals and division commanders.
All of which is to say that Stalin, who notoriously said that “a single death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic,” would have never allowed the threat posed by the late Wagner Group mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin to emerge as it did before taking action, as Vladimir Putin did. Posting videos and photos from the front lines in his military fatigues, Prigozhin put Russia’s military leadership in his crosshairs when he accused Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and army chief of staff Valery Gerasimov in profanity-laden rants of denying much-needed ammunition to his mercenary forces fighting in some of Ukraine’s toughest battles.
The mutiny was on. The FSB filed criminal charges while Prigozhin’s mercenaries shot down a Russian aircraft and military helicopters on approach to Moscow. Only then did Mr. Putin finally denounce the Wagner Group attempted putsch. Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko brokered a truce, but the damage had been done and Mr. Putin faced the dilemma of what to do next.
The CIA is on the hook to assess how much the Putin regime can tolerate having to rely on long-term strategic competitors such as Iran and China to help it deal with the Ukraine mess, as well as the humiliation of having to appeal to the hermit kingdom/rogue state of North Korea to help keep Russia’s forces armed.
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