'Some of these Republicans are pretty troubling candidates. I think it’s safe to say this is the most extreme ticket we’ve ever seen.'
who I really respect, says, “You know what? If this weren’t a Trump ticket, Republicans would likely be running away with several of the statewide seats.” Given the headwinds that Democrats here face, that they face all over the country, and the vote-share advantages I just described, it should be a fairly easy win for Republicans. But it’s not.
If you go to one of Kari Lake’s rallies, I believe she’s one of the most charismatic candidates in the country right now. She is very skilled at what she does, presenting herself and presenting her ideas to a crowd. But what’s interesting is that in these larger crowds, you don’t see the election denial very much. You don’t see the COVID denial, which is how she started her campaign a year ago.
A court will decide whether our Civil War-era, near-total ban on abortion is legal. It’s at the Appeals Court, and is likely to go to the Arizona Supreme Court, let’s say in the first six months of the next governor’s term. There will be two laws on the books: a 15-week ban and a near total ban. Which one is going to prevail? The courts may settle that, and then that will give you a sense of what the politicians are going to do.
This touches on your earlier question. I think what you might see at the start of a Lake term is a lot of lawsuits. I think what you’d see at the start of a Hobbs term would be ultimately sometime as bills got going, a lot of vetos. To turn to the Senate contest for a minute: as with a couple other races around the country in Georgia and Pennsylvania, the dynamic has been that the Democrat there, incumbent Mark Kelly, was maintaining a pretty healthy polling lead, if the polls are to be believed — and that the Republican, Blake Masters, has now almost caught up. What do you think accounts for that?
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