The tropics in the Atlantic have become very active. Tropical Storm Bret formed Monday evening and a second system is becoming likely to develop by midweek. But it’s not just active. It’s historically active in a region where June systems are extremely rare.
– The tropics in the Atlantic have become very active.
Tropical Storm Bret formed Monday evening and a second system is becoming likely to develop by midweek. But it’s not just active. It’s historically active in a region where June systems are extremely rare.This region is called the Main Development Region, or MDR.Systems that develop in the MDR are often the result of tropical waves floating off the coast of Africa and organizing further.Forecasters normally look at the MDR for development in the months of August, September and October.Two key things are coming together to allow development in the MDR this early.
Water temperatures in the area are well above average, giving fuel to any system that attempts to organize.The other major factor is the lack of dry air in place.While the dust is there, it is significantly weaker than average and is placed just north of the two systems.If two systems develop in the MDR this week, it will be the first time in recorded history in the month of June.The last hurricane was Elsa back in 2021.
While tropical systems have formed in June, seeing a complex in the MDR in rare. And seeing two systems simultaneously would be historic in nature.
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