Democrats have been on a voter registration tear since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. There’s just one problem for them — they are digging out from under major Republican gains in the previous 18 months.
In Ohio, where lawmakers have already instituted a six-week abortion ban and abortion rights have become a wedge issue in the close Senate race between Republican J.D. Vance and his Democratic opponent, Rep.Not all people who registered this year will ultimately cast ballots. Even in states where young registrants have surged, voters who signed up in the past year are still expected to make up a small share of the overall electorate in November.
“If we are seeing women and young people registering at much higher rates at this point so close to the election, it’s highly likely that we’ll see more women and young voters participating in the election,” said Tom Bonier, executive director of the Democratic data firm TargetSmart, who has been touting registration gains.surge in voter registration has not been dramatic everywhere, however.
The net result, when combined with voters who were removed from the rolls, is that Democrats’ advantage among registered voters in the swing state is slightly narrower now than it was at the time of the 2020 election. Voter registration in the state has picked up in recent weeks, consistent with patterns in previous years as an election approaches. Newly registered voters in the state are younger and less likely to affiliate with a party.
In past election cycles, those groups have also had lower turnout in North Carolina, while older voters — and registered Republicans — are more likely to cast ballots in midterms. Bitzer noted that whether younger voters show up in greater numbers this fall could be a key factor in the state’s most pivotal elections.,” he said. “And now it’s a new day.”
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