'In an aberration from typical voting tendencies, a solid portion of the electorate was still willing to back down-ticket Democrats.' More from danschnur in our Perspectives section:
One of the basic truisms in American politics is that midterm elections are won and lost by turning out a party’s base. While presidential campaigns tend to focus on persuading undecided voters at the center of the political spectrum, the lower turnout that we see in most midterms means that there are fewer swing voters to attract. So the party that motivates and mobilizes its most loyal supporters almost always achieves victory.
Heading into this campaign season, given President Biden’s extremely low poll numbers and sour voter attitudes about inflation, it seemed likely that this year’s elections would reflect historical norms. Most Democrats braced for major setbacks, although some held out hope that Donald Trump’s outsized presence on the campaign trail could remind enough voters of their feelings for him to cause a reversal of traditional trends.
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