What will Erdogan do if he loses Turkey’s elections?

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What will Erdogan do if he loses Turkey’s elections?
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Turkey’s elections are less than a month away. Polls vary, but many show President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has dominated the country for two decades, losing. The chances that Erdogan will step down, however, are between zero and none. Erdogan sees himself, quite literally, as on a mission from…

Turkey’s elections are less than a month away. Polls vary, but many show President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has dominated the country for two decades, losing. The chances that Erdogan will step down, however, are between zero and none. Erdogan sees himself, quite literally, as on a mission from God."I am the servant of the sharia [Islamic law]," he once explained. The power has gone to his head, and ideology has warped it.

Commentators explain how, despite Erdogan’s get-out-the-vote drive, inflation and financial mismanagement led many in the conservative business community to abandon him. Kilicdaroglu may lack charisma, but after decades of Erdogan, Turks concluded boring could be good. Support for two minor candidates fizzled. While Kurds are normally hostile to the Republican People’s Party due to its historic complicity in their repression, they held their nose and voted for Kilicdaroglu.

Later that day, Turkish state media broadcast news of telephone calls or statements from the leaders of Russia, Azerbaijan, and Pakistan congratulating Erdogan on his reelection. Europe is silent with the exception of Viktor Orban in Hungary, who also congratulates Erdogan. The silence from Brussels and Washington infuriates Erdogan. Supporters and rent-a-mobs gather outside the U.S. Consulate in Istanbul and the U.S. Embassy in Ankara, Turkey. Rumors spread via pro-Erdogan social media that U.S. servicemen at Incirlik Air Base helped manipulate the results. Crowds soon surround the base, demanding American blood. Just outside of Istanbul, someone paints a big red crescent on the Greek Orthodox Halki Seminary.

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