The bonds between the Wagner Group and the Russian army broke down immediately after the start of the war in Ukraine. Prior to the conflict, the Wagner Group advanced Russian state interests in an unofficial capacity.
A woman and child peer out of the window of a bus as they leave Sievierodonetsk in eastern Ukraine in February 2022.
Overlapping domains of influence, while forced by necessity in the case of the Russian army and the Wagner Group,In fact, they’re a feature of the Russian political system, and one person is responsible — Vladimir Putin.Ultimately, only the Russian president can arbitrate disputes among his subordinates.
During the conflict itself, that meant co-operation among competing factions — in this case the Russian army and paramilitary forces — has been nominal, at best. In the worst-case scenario, these tensions can lead toWhile this tempest has seemingly passed for Putin for now, the Wagner Group is only the most prominent example of simmering discontent among paramilitary forces towards Russia.
The short-lived insurrection could still be a turning point in the war in Ukraine, but how it will shift the conflict is still uncertain.
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