Here’s how we’re betting Saturday’s contest between the Vikings and Giants, which kicks off at 1 p.m. ET on Fox.
Conversely, the Giants have consistently exceeded expectations en route to a 10-4 ATS record, tied for the second-best mark in the league. New York snapped a four-game winless skid with last week’s crucial win over rival Washington, which saw this team build a commanding halftime lead and hold on late with a season-defining goal-line stand in prime time.
Daniel Jones showed some flashes in that game, too, which should concern a Vikings secondary that ranks 31st in passing yards allowed and 27th in pass defense DVOA. They’re only slightly better against the run, which is worrying against do-it-all back Saquon Barkley, who ranks sixth in scrimmage yards per game and eighth in rushing touchdowns .
Typically, grabbing the points on underdogs of just more than a field goal is worth the gamble. Teams catching between 3.5 and 4 points are 28-17-1 ATS this season and have been profitable each of the last five years, tallying a combined 114-80-2 ATS record in that stretch.
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