USD Q4 2022 Fundamental Forecast: USD Harnessed Fundamental Winds, Now a Threat

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USD Q4 2022 Fundamental Forecast: USD Harnessed Fundamental Winds, Now a Threat
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There was no stopping the US Dollar through the third quarter. The world’s most liquid currency drew on the benefits of a striking yield advantage on an aggressive Fed rate hike regime.

Not the Worst of the Unflattering Economic Forecasts

When we take interest rate advantage out of the equation, the next most important factor that will play a critical role for the Dollar moving forward is relative economic potential. Through the third quarter, there has been remarkable fallout relating to supply chain issues, monetary policy victims and ‘normal’ wear on the fundamental course. The United States has not escaped the pressure, but it seems to carry a better evaluation of performance compared to its major counterparts.

When it comes to interest rate appeal and favorable growth trends, the Greenback is long in the tooth. That is not to say that these factors couldn’t nudge the currency even further. Instead, the outlook for the world is getting to the point were building a sustainable gap without triggering a local economic crash seems nigh impossible.

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