A professor of political science discusses the problems that Nancy Pelosi’s visit could cause for Taiwan and the divisions among the Taiwanese on how to deal with an increasingly assertive China.
.” During our conversation, which has been edited for length and clarity, we discussed the problems that Pelosi’s visit could cause for Taiwan, the divisions among the Taiwanese on how to deal with an increasingly assertive China, and the lessons the different sides of the China-Taiwan conflict have drawn from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.The core thing that I take away from Pelosi’s visit is that it was ultimately about U.S. domestic politics and P.R.C.
The Pelosi visit to Taiwan was never a substantive thing. It was always a symbolic gesture; it was a show of support. From the first moment that they announced that it might happen, my question has been: What concrete benefit does Taiwan derive from this show of support that outweighs the predictable response from the P.R.C.? I have never heard anyone even try to articulate that. They used the slogan “We’re supporting Taiwan,” and then when the P.R.C.
And what about the response from the Kuomintang , which is the largest opposition party and favors closer ties to China than the D.P.P. does? Another part of Ma’s strategy of trying to ease tension through engagement and interaction was to invite more people and investment from the mainland into Taiwan. As the Taiwan Strait became a two-way strait, people in Taiwan suddenly realized, “Wait a minute—this is not an abstraction. The mainland is coming to us.” People who had never seen someone from mainland China in their entire lives suddenly found their communities overrun by P.R.C. tourists. The number of P.R.C.
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