Climate change is, by its nature, unpredictable. But there's a whole cottage industry trying to predict it.
Naturally, the reaction from more temperate climes has been one part concern, two parts morbid curiosity, three parts smirk. We’ve been waiting 130 years to say “I told you so,” ever since John Wesley Powell, who led the first federal expedition down the Colorado River, bluntly proclaimed: “There is not sufficient water to supply these lands.” In 2009, Rebecca Solnit
, “Phoenix will be like Jericho or Ur of the Chaldees, with the shriveled relics of golf courses and the dusty hills of swimming pools added on.”Yet in spite of all that, this very weird, very hot summer is delivering a different lesson: that climate change will not operate in a linear, predictable manner, causing a half-century of southern migration to recede north like a wave washing back into the sea.
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