Strategists are eyeing Senate sleeper races in second and third tier states such as North Carolina, Colorado and Washington that could unexpectedly tip the balance of power.
United States senator from Washington
With three weeks before Election Day, however, Democratic and Republican strategists say there are several “sleeper races” that could surprise political handicappers and decide which party controls the Senate next year. “There’s no question North Carolina Senate race is the sleeper of the cycle,” said Morgan Jackson, a highly respected Democratic strategist based in North Carolina.Jackson said that’s a good thing for Beasley because the relative lack of attention has given her an opportunity to become known to voters without the same aerial bombardment of attack ads that candidates have faced in other races.
The race is starting to get nasty with new ads approved by Budd hitting Beasley’s for what a narrator says was her ruling as a judge to strike down a law requiring GPS tracking of child predators. Beasley raised $13.3 million in the third fundraising quarter, substantially more than the $4.77 million that Budd reported for the same period.Sen. Michael Bennet wasn’t viewed as a top Republican target at the start of the election cycle, but Senate Republicans are now making the race a higher priority as their prospects have dimmed in two other battlegrounds: Arizona and New Hampshire.
Majority Forward, a dark-money group affiliated with Schumer, has spent more than $3 million attacking O’Dea, according to the Colorado Sun. Jackson and other Republicans say the Hispanic vote could be decisive in Colorado and predict Latino voters to swing to O’Dea because of rising costs and concern over the economy.
Democrats think that Rubio is taking the race for granted and letting himself coast on the lead he holds in recent public polls. A Spectrum News/Siena College poll of 669 likely Florida voters conducted last month showed that 21 percent of all voters and 36 percent of Democratic voters said abortion is their most important issue.“What we’re seeing in a lot of our polling in the suburbs is that abortion with college educated voters, women and men, still matters greatly, even though they’re still thinking about the economy,” said Jackson, the Democratic strategist.
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