The exceedingly low odds of Vermont’s flooding disaster, visualized

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The exceedingly low odds of Vermont’s flooding disaster, visualized
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The rainfall that hit parts of Vermont on Monday had less a 1-in-100 chance of occurring in any given year, according to federal flood data.

The rainfall that hit parts of Vermont on Monday had less than a 1-in-100 chance of occurring in any given year, according to federal flood data.

The chances of two such deluges hitting the Green Mountain State in such a short span? Just 0.6 percent, said Art DeGaetano, a professor at Cornell University and director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Northeast Regional Climate Center. “This, to me, is almost as classic a signal of climate change as warm temperatures,” DeGaetano said. “In a warmer world, this is what you would expect.”than current federal flood maps suggest, according to new data released by the nonprofit First Street Foundation. In Washington County, where Montpelier is, what was once considered a 1-in-100 year storm is now likely to occur about every 63 years.

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