Opinion | The 2024 presidential race begins: Will it be a repeat of 2020? WashTimesOpEd
Let’s look at the Democratic side first. A few days ago, Emerson College offered up survey results that indicated that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — whose campaign is not even supported by his own family — currently has about 1 in 5 registered Democratic voters ready to vote for him to be the party’s presidential nominee.
For example, Mr. Trump’s own polling team recently released the results of a survey they did for the Wall Street Journal. That survey indicated that Mr. DeSantis would defeat Mr. Biden nationally by 3 percentage points while Mr. Trump would lose nationally by 3 percentage points — the same margin by which he lost in 2020.
In Iowa, Mr. Trump holds a 6-point lead in Iowa, according to a survey done by Cygnal. For comparative purposes, however, Mr. DeSantis leads Mr. Biden by 10 points in Iowa in that same survey. It is also important to remember that we are very early in the cycle, and, despite appearances, the campaign has not yet started in earnest. Conclusions about the appeal or durability of candidates are aggressively premature. Within living memory, Sen. Edmund Muskie of Maine, Texas Gov. John Connally, Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and Florida Gov.
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