An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
** A strong tropical wave is over the far E. Atlantic off the coast of Africa & - while it is likely to develop - should stay far out to sea over the E. & Central Atlantic.’ - that moved off the coast of Africa this past weekend and was upgraded to tropical depression #13 Tue. morning then to tropical storm “Lee” Tue. afternoon. Lee will move steadily west/northwest through the weekend & appears destined to become a textbook long track hurricane.
If this is a threat for any of the U.S. lower 48, it would appear to be north of Jacksonville on or near the upper U.S. east coast &/or some of the eastern provinces of Canada... & it’s possible it could stay east of the entire eastern seaboard but way too early to know definitively. The forecast models are in remarkably good agreement at the moment showing a powerful hurricane with the GFS generally a little faster with forward movement vs.
The next image is from University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee & shows the top 10 analog tracks for where Lee is located ....The map below is the 500 mb forecast for next Tue. from the European model. The Bermuda High is weaker & shifted a little northeast while a trough of low pressure dives into the Eastern U.S.
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