Former President Donald Trump's mug shot captures a problem for Republicans as they contend with the repercussions of the 2024 primary front-runner's legal dramas.
But while some party strategists are concerned about Trump's general election prospects as he polls 40 percentage points ahead of his closest challenger, President Joe Biden is causing Democrats similar political stomach aches.Trump is in a formidable position before next year's general election against Biden, according to Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray.
"Trump himself is potentially vulnerable in a general election because of independent women who may again break from independent men, who voted overwhelmingly Republican," Paleologos said."Trump could be seen as the face of that Supreme Court." Marist College Institute for Public Opinion director Lee Miringoff also raised Trump's struggles with women, particularly after Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, and Biden's with the economy. But Miringoff did describe Biden as the"slight favorite" because Trump's support is capped"in the mid-40s," whereas the president's is not.
"Eventually we're going to be talking in the presidential about five or six states, which belies the notion that the aggregate numbers, the mid-40 to mid-40 kind of things, become less relevant," he continued."Every expectation has to be that this is going to be close and then you get into these other factors, perceptions of the economy, third party candidates, the health of the candidates, Trump's legal status.
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