Facing staunch and unexpected resistance in Ukraine, analysts have warned that Putin may be considering his next potential target: Moldova.
Facing staunch and seemingly unexpected resistance on the ground, analysts have warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin may be considering his next target.
It is also home to a sizeable pro-Russian separatist population based in the breakaway state of Transnistria. "If the conflict escalates beyond Ukraine, Moldova is one of the places that ranks highest on list," Adriano Bosoni, director of analysis at risk management firm Rane, told CNBC. "To me, it's super interesting that Russia has not yet recognized Transnistria as an independent republic the same way that it did with Luhansk and Donetsk," said Bosoni."If we saw Russia do that, it would be a serious indication that they are thinking of taking the conflict to Moldova."
However, if Russia were to take that path, it would spell further hardship, not least for Moldova's 2.6 million residents and theBlinken says that the U.S. has Moldova's back. It does not mean that they would back it."They would be very weak. There would be little to no resistance," said Clinton Watts, a research fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, of Moldova's resistance.
"I think it's more likely that he wants to take southern Ukraine and reunite with it Transnistria, using that as a launching pad to take Moldova," Watts added.If that were to happen, Moldova could face a fate similar to that of Ukraine, locked in conflict with a global superpower while Western allies watch from the sidelines.said earlier this monthAt the time, Blinken pledged America's support for the small republic, which days earlier applied for fast-track EU membership.
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