Opinion | Jerome Powell Plays by the Rules

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Opinion | Jerome Powell Plays by the Rules
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From WSJopinion: By talking about policy rules the Fed can do a much better job of explaining what it will take to restore price stability, write Jeffrey M. Lacker and Charles I. Plosser

The Federal Reserve’s delayed response to inflation has hurt the economy and the central bank’s credibility. This helps explain Chairman Jerome Powell’s forceful affirmations of the Fed’s commitment to its 2% inflation target. Bringing inflation back down to target will involve short-term pain, but letting it run at elevated levels will prove more costly in the long run.

Both the Fed and financial market participants believe that the central bank will succeed in restoring price stability. They increasingly disagree, however, about what it will take to do so. Markets now project a federal-funds rate peaking below 5% and then falling later this year. The Fed’s projections have the funds rate rising above 5% and staying there into 2024.

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