Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is heavily favored to win a second term. He's facing Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle, who is not well known outside his mostly rural Northern California district.
SACRAMENTO, Calif. — California's sleepy race for governor ends Tuesday and Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is an overwhelming favorite to win a second term leading the nation's most populous state, a platform that could propel him to a presidential run.
He wants Democrats to be more aggressive, believing they have ceded the political narrative to Republicans. It’s a strategy that has gotten him lots of media coverage and increased speculation that he plans to run for president. For Dahle, there was little political risk in running for governor because he did not have to give up his seat, which covers the state's sparsely populated northwest corner. But he struggled to get donations in a year when Republican donors are more focused on California’s competitive U.S. House races, which will help determine which party controls Congress.
Newsom’s lack of campaigning likely won’t affect the outcome of his race, but it could impact Democrats running for seats in the state Legislature. Andrew Acosta, a Democratic California-based political consultant, noted a similar environment in 2014, when then-Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown didn't campaign and got 60% of the vote to win a second term but Democrats lost some legislative seats.
With no political threats at home, Newsom has spent much of his first term doing the kinds of things that would make him attractive to Democratic presidential primary voters. An increase in crime, including organized shoplifting rings in the state's major cities, has contributed to a general sense of unease among voters.
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