Market volatility may rise as volume stays light because of the Easter holiday in Europe.
Globally, market direction this week will be driven in part by March U.S. consumer price inflation on Wednesday. Headline annual inflation is expected to continue slowing, but core remains sticky. Indeed, headline is expected to fall below core.on Friday - on balance, a pretty solid report - didn't really change rates traders' outlook for the Fed much. They still think the Fed has probably peaked and will cut rates by at least 50 basis points this year.
More immediately though, attention on Monday will be fixed on the final day of China's three-day military drills around Taiwan. The exercises, which Beijing launched after Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen met with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California last week, involve Chinaon Taiwan and encircling the island with around 10 warships and dozens of fighter jets.
The de facto U.S. embassy in Taiwan said on Sunday the U.S. was monitoring China's drills and was "comfortable and confident" it had sufficient resources and capabilities regionally to ensure peace and stability.
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