“Sentiments are moving from discontent to anger,” political analyst Jean-Christophe Gallien, a columnist for France TV, told Yahoo News. “The country is not only opposing pension reform, it’s opposing Macron’s way of governing.”
. “Even his supporters are turning against him.” While Macron regained confidence during his first term, when the Yellow Jacket protests forced him to drop a planned fuel tax, Moreau Chevrolet doesn’t see any easy way out this time, describing the current upheaval as a “historical political crisis that was provoked by the president unnecessarily.”taking on pension reform during a period of inflation and increased costs of living, when the economy is just coming back from COVID.
“Some aspects of the law may be struck down by the Constitutional Council,” Paul Smith, a professor of French politics at the University of Nottingham, told Yahoo News, pointing to the possibility, for instance, of not raising retirement ages for those working in physically demanding jobs. “But that could be a six-week process,” he added.
Others, however, believe that Macron will remain in power, but as a lame duck whose political capital is spent. “Politically, I think his mandate is over,” said Moreau Chevrolet. Analysts worry that Macron’s pension maneuvering is driving voters straight into the arms of Le Pen and Mélenchon. “The only ones who can win from this are the far-right and the far-left,” said de Werk. “They’re the ones who are saying France is run by a political elite that is anti-democratic and has its own interests.”, if parliamentary elections were held today, Le Pen’s party would win 26%, Mélenchon would take 26% and Macron would come in third at 22%.
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