Everything you need to know about GPT-4 and my existential crisis.
living through a mind-bogglingly rapid surge in economic progress.If Karnofsky’s prophesied “economic singularity” comes to pass, it would be socially destabilizing and potentially cataclysmic. We aren’t very far from developing biotech tools that make it cheap and easy for a sociopath of middling intelligence to engineer a supervirus in their kitchen.
Probably? But if the EAs’ hyperventilating helps catalyze a push to better regulate these tools, then it will be to the good. If even a pale imitation of the “economic singularity” comes to pass — if AI does not propel us to “100 percent” annual GDP growth, but up to, say, 10 percent — then many of our polity’s fundamental conflicts will be transformed. And many of the concerns that I’ve spent my professional life dwelling on may be moot.
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