Scattered storms could produce torrential downpours, damaging winds and, perhaps, a brief tornado; a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect.
A muggy air mass is entrenched across the area as a cold front approaches from the Ohio River Valley. While the front pushes east, it will help showers and thunderstorms develop out ahead of it.
Some bow-shaped thunderstorms segments capable of strong and potentially damaging winds up to around 60 mph are possible. A rotating storm or two, known as supercells, may also develop given the stronger winds aloft. While the tornado threat is low, a brief touch down can’t be ruled out in any rotating storm. A smattering of hail is also possible, although it should not be too widespread or large.
“The potential for multiple rounds of thunderstorms with very high rainfall rates in an air mass characterized by [precipitable water values] over 2 inches could result in an isolated flood threat through this evening,” wrote theThese kinds of moisture values can lead to exceptional rainfall rates of one to three inches per hour.
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