A Hurricane Watch has been issued along Florida's Gulf Coast ahead of the expected wind, rain, and storm surge from Hurricane Ian later this week.
– winds that change direction and speed at various heights – over the Caribbean Sea is expected to allow Ian to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane.
But Ian is forecast to be a large hurricane regardless of its intensity, and its forward progress is expected to slow down, so Ian will still be a significant hurricane threat along the northern or eastern Gulf Coast regardless of its category rating on theHurricane-force winds are expected to reach Grand Cayman in the Cayman Islands Monday, with tropical-storm-force winds expected there for Tuesday.
The heavy rain could produce flash flooding and mudslides in hilly and mountainous areas, particularly in Jamaica and Cuba. "People are just so fixated on two things, the Saffir-Simpson intensities, the number, and the track. And when a storm like this gets big it is going to spread impacts and push water and produce rain and winds in places that’s going to catch people off guard," said Rhone. "So I really want everyone eon the Florida peninsula to really be paying attention and thinking about the hazards and not the Saffir-Simpson scale and not the skinny black line in the middle of the cone.
The expected increase in size of Ian and its potential to slow down in forward progress near the Gulf Coast will increase the threat of life-threatening storm surge, regardless of the future hurricane's intensity at landfall. This heavy rain may result in flash and urban flooding across the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula through midweek. Additional flooding and rises on area streams and rivers across North Florida and parts of the southeastern U.S. later this week can't be ruled out, especially in Central Florida given already-saturated conditions.The various colors on the map indicate the confidence level in the track of Hurricane Ian.
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