In the first 10 months of availability, COVID-19 vaccines prevented an estimated 1.5 million coronavirus infections, nearly 73,000 hospitalizations, and almost 20,000 deaths in California, according to a study published in the journal JAMA Network Open.
Deciding how many Americans we are willing to let die of COVID-19 each year is necessary to put the pandemic behind us., much less been exposed to it — to Oct. 16, 2021, the state recorded 4.6 million coronavirus infections. By the end of that period, just over 27 million residents age 12 and older had at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine — almost 80% of the eligible population.
For their primary model, the researchers calculated coronavirus infection rates from November 2020 to October 2021 in children 11 and under, the one segment of the state’s population still ineligible for vaccines at the time. Then they applied that infection rate to the rest of the population. The two models produced strikingly similar results. The primary one showed that the first 10 months of the vaccination campaign forestalled 1.52 million infections, 72,930 hospitalizations and 19,430 deaths. The secondary one estimated that vaccines prevented slightly fewer infections , but more hospitalizations and deaths .
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