Here's what to expect from Tuesday's Oscar nominations

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When Oscar nominations are announced Tuesday, popcorn will be on the menu. But the frontrunners aren't box-office smashes or streaming titles. “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” “The Banshees of Inisherin” and “The Fabelmans” are leading the pack.

surprisingly missed out on a SAG nomination, but expect the academy to remedy that. More challenging is that, unlike “Everything Everywhere All at Once” or “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “The Fabelmans” underperformed at the box office. Ironically, the filmmaker who helped create the modern blockbuster will have to win despite the faint whiff of theatrical disappointment. Spielberg, though, appears headed for his ninth best director nomination, and very likely, his third win in the category.

At the same time, more modest films — “CODA,” “Nomadland,” “Parasite,” “The Shape of Water,” “Moonlight” — have usually triumphed.Ten films will be nominated for best picture, and seven of those slots feel like locks: “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” “The Fabelmans,” “Top Gun: Maverick,” “Tár,” “Avatar: The Way of Water” and “Elvis.

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