Due to a warming central and eastern Pacific, the world is set to have its first full-fledged El Niño winter since 2018-19, which will mean some climate changes for the season from recent years.
, meteorologists have a good sense of what temperatures and precipitation patterns could be in place by the end of the year.
During a typical winter El Niño pattern, an enhanced subtropical jet keeps the South cooler and stormier. The polar jet is often dislodged farther north, which keeps colder air bundled up over the extreme northern tier of the country and Canada. after water temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific warmed to more than 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal levels.
Some climate models indicate that El Niño could be rather stout, with average anomalies reaching at least 1.5 degrees Celsius above average values.The last super El Niño events were in 1982-83, 1997-98 and 2015-16, but it remains to be seen whether 2023 will join the echelon.
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