Going flat: California population projected to stagnate through 2060

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Going flat: California population projected to stagnate through 2060
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The state forecast comes on the heels of three years of unprecedented population declines totaling about 1%.

After adding residents for nearly its entire history, California can expect its population to remain roughly the same through 2060, new projections show, in a trend that would upend previous predictions and threaten the Golden State’s status as an economic powerhouse.unprecedented population declines

“Adding those numbers has shown a reality that’s different than what we expected,” said Andres Gallardo, a demographer with the state., the “compounding effects” of the changes could have a profound long-term impact, Gallardo said. For instance, birth rates — which had already been dropping for years — fell drastically during the pandemic, meaning that 20 years from now, fewer residents will be at the age to start having children.

Stephen Levy, director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy in Palo Alto, said there’s optimism the state’s tech and clean energy sectors, along with other engines of the California economy, will still attract workers, noting the state’s latest forecast is in “conflict with the continuing job growth predicted by all of the regional planning agencies in California.

Weary of the Bay Area’s high cost of living, Michele De Marco, 53, moved from Mountain View to Nampa, Idaho, in July. Her husband will follow by the end of the year after he sells his upholstery shop.

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