Shipping to see 50% of emissions in 2100 as before COVID-19 with low-hanging fruit of electrification, efficiencies and not shipping oil, gas, and coal.
, the major outliers, and adjust for reasonableness and to avoid overlap. And the range of data was from 2006 to 2018, so further adjustments were required.
The second surprise was the scale of inland shipping. About 42% of all water-borne shipping tonnage annually is on rivers and lakes globally. I had expected the deep-water portion to be higher, as it gets most of the attention, but that turned out not to be the case. At present, I’m only somewhat comfortable with subset of deep-sea vs short-sea shipping I’ve created. I suspect that there is more coastal vs inland shipping than this analysis represents at this point in time. Once again, if someone has better sources and numbers, please let me know.After that, of course, it was necessary to determine average tonnage, distance traveled, and efficiency for the three categories of ships.
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