Glimmers of AGI Are Just an Illusion, Scientists Say

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Glimmers of AGI Are Just an Illusion, Scientists Say
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Are we just seeing our own humanity reflected back at us?

But are we really approaching a point where machines are able to compete with us on an intellectual level? In their new paper, the Stanford researchers argue that any seemingly emergent abilities of LLMs may just be "mirages" borne out of inherently flawed metrics.

The researchers argue that "existing claims of emergent abilities are creations of the researcher's analyses, not fundamental changes in model behavior on specific tasks with scale."To illustrate how questionable some of the metrics that have been used to declare the emergence of AGI are, the Stanford researchers used a helpful baseball analogy.

"Both metrics are valid," they add, "but it's important not to be surprised when the latter metric yields a discontinuous outcome." To that end, though, these emergent properties, whether they exist or not, are more than just exciting, as they also come with some worrying ramifications. Once a machine shows even one emergent property, does that mean we've officially lost control?

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