The mid-Atlantic and southeastern states are the only areas of the country where the North American Electric Reliability Corp. is not warning of the potential for outages in the event of prolonged and intense heat waves or monster storms.
But many energy scholars say that while the rapid shift to cleaner energy does add to the challenge of modernizing the grid, other factors play a much bigger part in what are becoming annual summertime energy-shortage anxieties expected to persist for years.“The extreme weather that is hitting a wider swath of the country is putting more pressure on the system,” said Bill Dugan, a director at Customized Energy Solutions, a Philadelphia firm that advises clients on electricity markets.
“The system can bring in a lot more wind, a lot more solar,” Moura said. “We say, ‘bring them on.’ But we don’t want to see cliff’s edge [fossil power plant] retirements that come without a lot of warning and not a lot of opportunity to plan.”It all points to too little energy available at the same time demand is soaring. A lot of what is driving that summer demand is air conditioning. As the weather gets hotter, people are cranking up the AC higher.
“There is a huge amount of wind and solar waiting in the queues,” said Ric O’Connell, executive director of GridLab, a research firm focused on the transition to a zero-emissions grid. “We have not been able to bring it online fast enough to replace retiring plants. We need to move faster.”There are enough wind, solar and other clean-energy projects waiting to connect the grid to make the U.S.
The supply chain issues triggered by the pandemic are adding to the challenge of stabilizing the grid, according to the North American Electric Reliability Corp. forecast. There is a shortage of transformers “as a result of production not keeping pace with demand,” leaving many utilities with “low levels of emergency stocks that are used for responding to natural disasters and catastrophic events.”Inflation is also creating problems.
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