Drew Lock and the higher ceiling presumption

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Drew Lock and the higher ceiling presumption
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Like many Seattle Seahawks fans, I wanted Drew Lock to be the team’s starting quarterback. He may still get that opportunity down the line, but for now it’s Geno Smith’s chance to turn his career...

ended the 2020 season with an NFL-high 626 pass attempts and he likes to throw long, so it’s not shocking that he’s second on this list. Perhaps a surprise in the top eight isof the Broncos, a second-year signal caller, though he was known for his arm in college. While he threw the ball deep often, his on-target percentage of 50% was below league-average and ranked tied for 19th among our 32 qualifiers.

I’ve admittedly been in the camp that’s said Lock’s ceiling is higher than Smith’s, but I completely question that now. What are we basing Lock’s presumed higher ceiling on? His physical gifts?? Because his regular season performances have not been consistently better than Smith’s, and that’s a low bar to clear.

We are conditioned to believe early round draft picks got there through some form of merit and thus any flaws and struggles they have in the pros are fixable. Other than being “not Geno” the entire selling point of Lock has boiled down to “?” and the belief that the Seahawks could get him closer to what he was projected to be...

...But draft busts are rooted to the bench or given the boot early in their careers all the time. Why should Lock get any more benefit of the doubt than a host of other busts taken in his draft range? DeShone Kizer was a second-round pick and is now out of the NFL after going 0-15 as a starter on the eventual 0-16. Not one team is clamoring to bring him on board to see his untapped potential.

Here’s a sampling of Drew Lock pre-draft scouting reports. The bold emphases are mine because they largely describe Lock’s Broncos career and a whole lot of the Cowboys game from Friday.

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