Republicans should pray fervently and take whatever practical steps they can to ensure that no one on the bench other than GovRonDeSantis stands up and gets into the game, writes hgurdon.
It’s not just that the Democratic incumbent is incompetent and unpopular, nor merely that it’s difficult and rare for a party to turn against its own White House-ensconced leader. It also isn’t simply the further negative point that Biden’s most obvious replacement within the blue party is less liked and capable than her boss is.
But just because there are many possible serious Republican challengers does not mean the party’s deep bench is a good thing. In fact, the opposite is true. This is because of the two names I’ve omitted, the most important ones: former President Donald Trump and Florida Gov.Republicans should pray fervently and take whatever practical steps they can to ensure that no one on the bench other than DeSantis stands up and gets into the game.
A big field, as in 2016, would give Trump an appallingly strong chance of snatching the nomination while winning only a minority of primary votes. In 2016, for example, he won New Hampshire with only 35% of GOP votes, while the next six candidates shared more than 60%. Likewise, in South Carolina, Trump won with just 32%, while Cruz and Sen. Marco Rubio split nearly 45%, and the next three also-rans divided another 23%.
To be clear, there is danger in pinning hopes to an early favorite and presumptive nominee. I was one of those who enthused about former Wisconsin Gov.But I’d argue that Walker was no DeSantis. The Florida governor has been preparing for this moment for years and has proved himself the most adroit politician of his generation. He already has a national profile and following, and he beats Trump in most 2024 opinion polls.
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