'Surviving a no-confidence vote is supposed to lead to death by a thousand cuts,' writes Matthew Burn, 'but if we can be sure of anything, it’s that Johnson will not step down of his own accord'
Bojo still retains a small amount of mojo. Photo: Daniel Leal/AFP via Getty images If Wikipedia is to be believed, Thucydides admitted to the king of Sparta that Pericles — purportedly Boris Johnson’s favorite historical figure — was a better fighter than he was, because even when beaten, he could make it seem as if he had won.
History suggests otherwise. Just four years ago, the Tories were busy trying to defenestrate their then-leader, Prime Minister Theresa May, via a vote of no confidence. She too won the vote, and by a healthier margin than Johnson. But within five months, she was standing in front of the famous black door to 10 Downing Street, choking back tears and announcing her resignation.
But surely he can’t escape history forever? Over the past year, Johnson has led the Tories to defeat in two special elections held in formerly safe seats, and later this month, there will be special elections in two parliamentary seats previously held by Conservative MPs. One of these lawmakers resigned after he was caught watching porn on his mobile phone in the House of Commons Chamber, the other after a criminal court convicted him of molesting a 15-year-old boy.
And though the civil servant Sue Gray has already issued her much-awaited report on Partygate, there undoubtedly will be more fallout from the scandal that brought Johnson to this point.
The Labour Party is ahead in polls, but its lead is modest. In the local elections held last month , Labour did better than the Tories, but it wasn’t the sweeping victory it was hoping for.
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