The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will likely maintain its yield curve control (YCC) policy until at least next year, three quarters of economists polled by Reuters said, as expectations for a near-term policy shift by new governor Kazuo Ueda subside.
citing a lack of confidence about the outlook for its 2% inflation target's achievement and announced a "broad-perspective review" of past policies.
"With rising uncertainties around the global economy, the risks accompanied with a drastic policy shift are not small," said Takumi Tsunoda, senior economist at Shinkin Central Bank Research Institute. Tsunoda expected the BOJ to fine-tune YCC to fix bond market distortions and sustain the policy until early 2024.
"July could be the last chance before the U.S. economy may head to a recession later this year, which makes it difficult for the BOJ to revise YCC", said Nobuyasu Atago, chief economist at Ichiyoshi Securities.
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