BoC: An explicit signal of a pause will weaken CAD – MUFG

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BoC: An explicit signal of a pause will weaken CAD – MUFG
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BoC: An explicit signal of a pause will weaken CAD – MUFG BOC USDCAD Canada Banks

“While we believe there is a good chance today’s 25 bps hike could be the last, we are less sure that the BoC will be willing to give explicit guidance on that today. There should be enough ‘between the lines’ for the markets to conclude a pause is more likely but we perhaps should not expect that view to be expressed explicitly.” decision a week away, we doubt we see a big reaction to a communication that does not include an explicit pause reference.

“We continue to expect CAD to underperform more generally as the US Dollar weakens. The Canadian economy is more vulnerable to a period of sustained higher rates and that is likely to undermine appetite for CAD.”Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets.

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