Analysis: The GOP is gaining post-Trump. Trump? Not so much.
On the one hand, Bender notes, they favor Republicans over Democrats by 13 points in the upcoming 2022 midterms. On the other, when given a choice in a rematch of the 2020 election, they pick the Democratic president over the Republican former president by almost the same margin: 12 points.
The upshot is that Republicans lead 46 percent to 41 percent in the 2022 “generic ballot,” but the 2024 race is a dead heat, at 45 percent apiece. When I saw this, I wondered if other polls demonstrated a similar dynamic. And they do — to some extent.conducted a few weeks ago, like the Wall Street Journal poll, showed Biden and Trump with remarkably similar image ratings. But it, too, showed Republicans doing better in 2022 than in a 2024 rematch. Republicans led 47-41 on the generic ballot, but Biden led 46-43 in a 2024 rematch.is the other recent one to test both the generic ballot and a 2024 rematch.
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