Analysis: Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D-Ga.) won reelection in the Georgia runoff on Tuesday night, turning aside a challenge from Republican former football star Herschel Walker. Here are our takeaways.
One thing you’ll notice if you look at the map of the election results is that Walker often ran stronger in the state’s rural and ruby-red counties than he did four weeks ago. But Warnock ran stronger in the metro Atlanta area, and turnout was slightly stronger there. Turnout everywhere was very high for a runoff, and it looks like it will end up around 90 percent of the total vote on Election Day, but it was narrowly higher in blue counties.
The runoff was but one race. But it reinforced everything we already knew about Trump and the 2022 election, which is that the former president and Trump-y candidates cost the GOP — including the Senate majority. November had already made this evident in Georgia: Walker was the one statewide GOP candidate who didn’t win on Election Day, with the other eightWalker now becomes the fourth Trump-backed candidate to lose a very winnable Senate race, next to Arizona’s Blake Masters, Nevada’s Adam Laxalt and Pennsylvania’s Mehmet Oz. Masters also performed worse than any other statewide Arizona Republican, while Laxalt lost despite a Republican winning the governor’s race.
We can’t say for certain that other, better candidates would have won more of these races. But they were unpopular and cost the GOP votes — as both these election results and those in theAnd Georgia was arguably the most conclusive missed opportunity in the battle for the Senate, given how well all of these other, non-MAGA Republicans did.
In a way, the fact that Georgia held its runoff four weeks after Election Day was tailor-made to remind people of Trump’s drag on the political prospects of his party. What a time to launch your 2024 campaign.Unlike the 2020-21 Georgia runoffs, this election didn’t decide the Senate majority. But it did assure that Democrats have a more literal majority of the chamber, 51 to 49, rather than their current version with 50 plus Vice President Harris as the tiebreaker.
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