The tale of two Colorados -- the one that's growing, and the one that's not.
Still, Garner continues,"The growth we forecast for Colorado in 2010 was actually less than what we had forecasted by the time we got to 2020 — not by a ton, but it was definitely slower." Moreover, the numbers came up well short of those from the 1990s. Back then, she says,"We grew by over a million people, and we had a 3.3 annual growth rate. From 2010 to 2020, our 14 percent increase resulted in a 1.4 annual growth rate.
When viewed in this context, the 14 percent growth from 2010 to 2020"was what we would consider normal for Colorado," she contends."Even though we definitely had counties declining in population, it was about the same number we had in the previous decade: sixteen counties declined between 2010 and 2020, and seventeen declined between 2000 and 2010. But what was unique is that 95 percent of the growth was along the Front Range.
Economic cycles contributed to this problem."The Great Recession threw us for a loop," she says."Because of that, we didn't really build from 2009 to 2015. In 2016, it started up again, and now we're about where we should have been, and we're still building. But we don't want to go overboard in terms of construction and throw ourselves into another tailspin. The question is: How do you build enough but not too much? That's hard.
In contrast, Garner stresses that population and economic declines are underway in"the northwest and southeast parts of the state, including places like the San Luis Valley. And they're going to be challenged with that slowdown, because they have to provide goods and services to the same number of people with a declining base.
As a state, Garner believes,"We have to help areas that are growing with affordable housing plans and roads and bridges. But in areas that are declining, we also have to help maintain resources."This is the first in a series of posts about growth in Colorado., it has been defined as the free, independent voice of Denver, and we'd like to keep it that way. With local media under siege, it's more important than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism.
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