2022 hurricane forecast....and the winner is.... KPRC2Frank reports - KPRC2 hounews houweather weather HTX Texas
Of course, when the storms cranked up they revved big and Canada recorded its strongest hurricane in history with Fiona on Sept. 20. Then Ian in late September hit Florida as the deadliest storm since 1935 and racked up a $50 billion damage tab. Nicole in early November would decimate Florida beaches already tender from Ian’s wrath.
So what’s Zeng and Davis’ secret sauce? In a phrase: sea surface temperatures, or SSTs. Particularly for their April forecasts where they look at both Atlantic and Pacific Ocean water temperatures and assimilate past year’s data with ensemble forecasts from the European model. This year, those SSTs were fairly normal or just above and so their forecast followed that lead. Unlike other forecasters, Zeng doesn’t feel wind forecasts are as reliable for early season predictions.
“Every year, we re-calibrate our models using one more year of data . Our results are also overall consistent with our expectation that the results in 2022 would be around average - similar to 2019. So we know our results would be good most of the time.”“Here is the summary of our record prepared in June 2022:
“Since 2017, when we started issuing forecasts for ACE and major hurricanes, our average error has been 30.0 units and 0.4 major hurricanes .
Argentina Últimas Noticias, Argentina Titulares
Similar News:También puedes leer noticias similares a ésta que hemos recopilado de otras fuentes de noticias.
Apple Music Replay: Users Can Now View Their 2022 Listening Stats, Year-End ChartsThe streamer has unveiled year-end insights for individual users as well as the top songs, top Shazams, most-read lyrics and most-streamed fitness tracks on the platform overall.
Leer más »
Destructive 2022 Hurricane Season comes to an endThe season has ended with near-average numbers, less active than most of the preseason forecasts. Here are some highlights and statistics from the report.
Leer más »
YouTube Music 2022 Recap now available, here are the highlightsJoining Apple Music Replay 2022 and Spotify Wrapped 2022, YouTube Music is also making available its 2022 Recap.
Leer más »
Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2022: Cramer says it's time to find value in this sectorJim Cramer and Jeff Marks break down several fresh economic data reports and what they mean for the market and where the Federal Reserve goes from here. Jim shares a few stocks he says investors can find value in right now, even amid economic uncertainty. He also gives his outlook on several tech and software holdings in the portfolio.
Leer más »